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RAINS H S

Public
EMORY, TX · RAINS ISD · 55.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 109 in 2021 to 98 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-10.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +4.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 531 students:

2025
552
2027
597
2029
646

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $12,547 per student in district revenue, the 115 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $1,442,905/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
MILLER GROVE SCHOOL
CUMBY
Public 9.2 79 +1.3%
LONE OAK H S
LONE OAK
Public 10.7 335 +3.7%
YANTIS SCHOOL
YANTIS
Public 12.6 90 -11.8%
FRUITVALE H S
FRUITVALE
Public 14.2 99 -13.9%
EDGEWOOD H S
EDGEWOOD
Public 14.5 281 -14.6%
GRAND SALINE H S
GRAND SALINE
Public 14.7 363 +13.4%
ALBA-GOLDEN H S
ALBA
Public 14.8 249 +10.7%
VAN ZANDT CO YOUTH MULTI-SERVICE CTR
GRAND SALINE
Public 15.5 11

Is RAINS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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