PRAIRIE VALLEY SCHOOL
Public
K–12 / combined
NOCONA, TX · PRAIRIE VALLEY ISD · 51.1% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +17.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 135 students:
2025
159
2027
220
2029
304
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $16,763 per student in district revenue, the 169 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $2,832,947/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOCONA H S NOCONA |
Public | 6.7 | 258 | +3.6% |
| SAINT JO H S SAINT JO |
Public | 18.2 | 99 | +0.0% |
| GOLD BURG SCHOOL BOWIE |
Public | 18.3 | 54 | — |
| BELLEVUE SCHOOL BELLEVUE |
Public | 24.7 | 55 | — |
| BOWIE H S BOWIE |
Public | 25.0 | 467 | -6.0% |
| MUENSTER H S MUENSTER |
Public | 25.9 | 175 | +24.1% |
| Sacred Heart Catholic School Muenster |
Private | 26.0 | 182 | -12.5% |
| HENRIETTA H S HENRIETTA |
Public | 26.6 | 268 | -7.6% |