BOWIE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 467 students:
≈ 46 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,578 per student in district revenue, the 46 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $578,588/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD BURG SCHOOL BOWIE |
Public | 9.3 | 54 | — |
| BELLEVUE SCHOOL BELLEVUE |
Public | 11.1 | 55 | — |
| ALVORD H S ALVORD |
Public | 15.7 | 225 | +0.9% |
| FORESTBURG SCHOOL FORESTBURG |
Public | 16.6 | 52 | +2.0% |
| CHICO H S CHICO |
Public | 17.6 | 166 | +9.2% |
| NOCONA H S NOCONA |
Public | 18.6 | 258 | +3.6% |
| MIDWAY SCHOOL HENRIETTA |
Public | 20.9 | 43 | — |
| SAINT JO H S SAINT JO |
Public | 21.4 | 99 | +0.0% |