PFLUGERVILLE ACADEMIC AND CAREER EDUCATION (PACE)
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 101 students:
≈ 18 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,625 per student in district revenue, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $263,250/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFLUGERVILLE H S PFLUGERVILLE |
Public | 0.5 | 1,794 | -3.2% |
| Great Minds Learning Community Pflugerville |
Private | 0.7 | 19 | — |
| PREMIER H S OF PFLUGERVILLE PFLUGERVILLE |
Public · charter | 0.8 | 120 | +34.8% |
| Concordia High School Pflugervile |
Private | 1.4 | 107 | -12.3% |
| IDEA PFLUGERVILLE COLLEGE PREPARATORY PFLUGERVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.4 | 319 | +136.3% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY-PFLUGERVILLE PFLUGERVILLE |
Public · charter | 2.3 | 503 | -8.2% |
| HENDRICKSON H S PFLUGERVILLE |
Public | 2.6 | 2,128 | -0.6% |
| Renaissance Academy Austin |
Private | 2.8 | 206 | — |