HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY-PFLUGERVILLE
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 794 students:
≈ 98 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,334 per student in district revenue, the 98 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,110,732/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Academy Austin |
Private | 0.5 | 206 | — |
| VALOR NORTH AUSTIN AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 0.7 | 192 | — |
| Concordia High School Pflugervile |
Private | 1.0 | 107 | -12.3% |
| JOHN B CONNALLY H S AUSTIN |
Public | 1.6 | 1,974 | +10.3% |
| CHAPARRAL STAR ACADEMY AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 1.7 | 112 | +15.5% |
| PFLUGERVILLE H S PFLUGERVILLE |
Public | 1.9 | 1,794 | -3.2% |
| PREMIER HIGH SCHOOL-AUSTIN WELLS BRANCH AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 101 | -6.5% |
| TEXASWORKS - AUSTIN-WELLS BRANCH AUSTIN |
Public · charter | 2.0 | 24 | — |