TEGELER COMMUNITY SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -23.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 150 students:
≈ 111 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,267 per student in district revenue, the 111 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,472,637/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PASADENA MEMORIAL H S PASADENA |
Public | 0.3 | 3,177 | +6.6% |
| DR KIRK LEWIS CAREER AND TECHNICAL H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.7 | 1,457 | +2.0% |
| Faith Christian Academy Pasadena |
Private | 1.3 | 124 | +51.2% |
| YES PREP - SOUTHEAST HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.7 | 461 | -13.8% |
| SOUTH HOUSTON H S SO HOUSTON |
Public | 2.1 | 2,185 | -5.5% |
| BETA ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 219 | +85.6% |
| SAM RAYBURN H S PASADENA |
Public | 2.7 | 2,627 | -0.4% |
| THE SUMMIT (HIGH SCHOOL) PASADENA |
Public | 3.3 | 161 | +5.9% |