← TX Enrollment Explorer

SAM RAYBURN H S

Public
PASADENA, TX · PASADENA ISD · 86.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 621 in 2021 to 621 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+0.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,627 students:

2025
2,624
2027
2,617
2029
2,610

≈ 17 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $13,267 per student in district revenue, the 17 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $225,539/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Pueblos Royal Christian School
Pasadena
Private 1.3 50 -13.8%
Faith Christian Academy
Pasadena
Private 1.5 124 +51.2%
THE SUMMIT (HIGH SCHOOL)
PASADENA
Public 1.6 161 +5.9%
RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY PASADENA
PASADENA
Public · charter 1.7 123 +6.0%
SOUTH HOUSTON H S
SO HOUSTON
Public 2.5 2,185 -5.5%
TEGELER COMMUNITY SCHOOL
PASADENA
Public 2.7 150 -38.5%
PASADENA MEMORIAL H S
PASADENA
Public 2.8 3,177 +6.6%
PASADENA H S
PASADENA
Public 2.8 2,217 +1.5%

Is SAM RAYBURN H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →