NORTHSIDE SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 227 students:
≈ 14 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,866 per student in district revenue, the 14 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $208,124/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORTH TEXAS STATE HOSPITAL - AFP - VERNON VERNON |
Public | 10.5 | 22 | — |
| VERNON ISD OPPORTUNITY CENTER VERNON |
Public | 10.9 | 10 | — |
| VERNON H S VERNON |
Public | 10.9 | 490 | -3.0% |
| CHILLICOTHE SCHOOL CHILLICOTHE |
Public | 12.4 | 51 | -10.5% |
| HARROLD SCHOOL HARROLD |
Public | 21.8 | 41 | — |
| QUANAH H S QUANAH |
Public | 25.5 | 143 | -13.3% |
| ELECTRA JUNIOR/SENIOR HIGH ELECTRA |
Public | 28.8 | 145 | +55.9% |
| CROWELL SCHOOL CROWELL |
Public | 32.5 | 49 | — |