CHILLICOTHE SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 189 students:
≈ 16 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $28,246 per student in district revenue, the 16 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $451,936/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORTH TEXAS STATE HOSPITAL - AFP - VERNON VERNON |
Public | 12.2 | 22 | — |
| NORTHSIDE SCHOOL VERNON |
Public | 12.4 | 62 | +3.3% |
| VERNON H S VERNON |
Public | 13.2 | 490 | -3.0% |
| QUANAH H S QUANAH |
Public | 14.0 | 143 | -13.3% |
| VERNON ISD OPPORTUNITY CENTER VERNON |
Public | 14.3 | 10 | — |
| CROWELL SCHOOL CROWELL |
Public | 21.8 | 49 | — |
| HARROLD SCHOOL HARROLD |
Public | 29.6 | 41 | — |
| ELECTRA JUNIOR/SENIOR HIGH ELECTRA |
Public | 36.7 | 145 | +55.9% |