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NIXON-SMILEY H S

Public
NIXON, TX · NIXON-SMILEY CISD · 73.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 51 in 2021 to 66 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+29.4%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +2.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 295 students:

2025
301
2027
314
2029
328

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $16,541 per student in district revenue, the 33 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $545,853/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
STOCKDALE H S
STOCKDALE
Public 12.3 253 +3.7%
Lifegate Christian School
Seguin
Private 19.8 132 -7.0%
LA VERNIA H S
LA VERNIA
Public 22.3 1,072 +8.9%
SEGUIN CAMPUS
SEGUIN
Public · charter 22.9 49
SEGUIN H S
SEGUIN
Public 23.6 2,020 -2.2%
POTH H S
POTH
Public 23.7 275 +7.0%
MERCER & BLUMBERG LRN CTR
SEGUIN
Public 23.7 73 +12.3%
FLORESVILLE H S
FLORESVILLE
Public 25.1 1,254 +0.0%

Is NIXON-SMILEY H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

Request an Enrollment Trend Audit →