SEGUIN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,020 students:
≈ 73 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,542 per student in district revenue, the 73 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $988,566/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERCER & BLUMBERG LRN CTR SEGUIN |
Public | 1.4 | 73 | +12.3% |
| SEGUIN CAMPUS SEGUIN |
Public · charter | 1.4 | 49 | — |
| JUVENILE DETENTION CENTER SEGUIN |
Public | 2.1 | 26 | — |
| Lifegate Christian School Seguin |
Private | 3.8 | 132 | -7.0% |
| NAVARRO H S SEGUIN |
Public | 5.5 | 703 | +11.6% |
| TWO RIVERS H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 11.1 | 82 | -3.5% |
| MARION H S MARION |
Public | 11.7 | 516 | +8.2% |
| PREMIER H S OF NEW BRAUNFELS NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public · charter | 11.9 | 72 | -30.8% |