MONTGOMERY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,523 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,528 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $100,224/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAKE CREEK H S MONTGOMERY |
Public | 4.3 | 1,692 | +4.9% |
| TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOL - PLANTERSVILLE CAMPUS PLANTERSVILLE |
Public · charter | 9.3 | 3 | — |
| MAGNOLIA H S MAGNOLIA |
Public | 11.2 | 2,292 | +6.6% |
| MAGNOLIA WEST H S MAGNOLIA |
Public | 11.8 | 2,356 | +9.3% |
| TRUE NORTH CONROE CONROE |
Public | 12.5 | — | — |
| AEP MAGNOLIA |
Public | 12.6 | 1 | — |
| RICHARDS H S RICHARDS |
Public | 12.7 | 70 | +29.6% |
| STEPHENS ACADEMY MAGNOLIA |
Public | 12.9 | 65 | -13.3% |