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MEMORIAL H S

Public
MCALLEN, TX · MCALLEN ISD · 64.8% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 458 in 2021 to 450 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-1.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,021 students:

2025
1,983
2027
1,910
2029
1,840

≈ 181 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,907 per student in district revenue, the 181 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,336,167/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LAMAR ACADEMY
MCALLEN
Public 0.8 47
TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-MCALLEN
MCALLEN
Public · charter 1.3 118 -5.6%
MCALLEN H S
MCALLEN
Public 1.7 2,134 -2.3%
ACHIEVE EARLY COLLEGE H S
MCALLEN
Public 2.1 428 +6.5%
BUELL CENTRAL DAEP
PHARR
Public 2.4 87 +24.3%
PSJA THOMAS JEFFERSON T-STEM EARLY COLLEGE H S
PHARR
Public 2.8 553 -4.0%
ROWE H S
MC ALLEN
Public 3.0 1,905 -1.9%
PSJA NORTH EARLY COLLEGE H S
PHARR
Public 3.1 2,166 +2.2%

Is MEMORIAL H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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