TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-MCALLEN
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 118 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,147 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $144,617/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMAR ACADEMY MCALLEN |
Public | 0.7 | 47 | — |
| ACHIEVE EARLY COLLEGE H S MCALLEN |
Public | 1.2 | 428 | +6.5% |
| MEMORIAL H S MCALLEN |
Public | 1.3 | 2,021 | -5.5% |
| MCALLEN H S MCALLEN |
Public | 1.4 | 2,134 | -2.3% |
| ROWE H S MC ALLEN |
Public | 2.1 | 1,905 | -1.9% |
| IDEA MCALLEN COLLEGE PREPARATORY MCALLEN |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 421 | +5.0% |
| SHARYLAND ADVANCED ACADEMIC ACADEMY MISSION |
Public | 2.7 | 481 | +6.4% |
| SHARYLAND H S MISSION |
Public | 2.9 | 1,527 | +2.5% |