LYFORD H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 439 students:
≈ 33 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,320 per student in district revenue, the 33 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $505,560/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAYMONDVILLE H S RAYMONDVILLE |
Public | 4.3 | 522 | +3.0% |
| RAYMONDVILLE OPTIONS ACADEMIC ACADEMY RAYMONDVILLE |
Public | 5.0 | 40 | — |
| LASARA H S LASARA |
Public | 7.6 | 105 | +9.4% |
| SANTA ROSA H S SANTA ROSA |
Public | 10.9 | 291 | +2.8% |
| LA VILLA EARLY COLLEGE H S LA VILLA |
Public | 11.4 | 179 | -3.8% |
| MONTE ALTO H S MONTE ALTO |
Public | 11.5 | 255 | -16.7% |
| SAN PERLITA H S SAN PERLITA |
Public | 11.5 | 67 | -13.0% |
| EDCOUCH-ELSA H S ELSA |
Public | 13.5 | 1,309 | +1.9% |