LA VILLA EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 179 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,070 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $187,770/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDCOUCH-ELSA H S ELSA |
Public | 2.9 | 1,309 | +1.9% |
| EDCOUCH-ELSA H S ACADEMY ELSA |
Public | 2.9 | 70 | — |
| IDEA ELSA COLLEGE PREPARATORY ELSA |
Public · charter | 3.5 | 373 | +230.1% |
| MONTE ALTO H S MONTE ALTO |
Public | 6.2 | 255 | -16.7% |
| SANTA ROSA H S SANTA ROSA |
Public | 7.2 | 291 | +2.8% |
| IDEA COLLEGE PREP WESLACO WESLACO |
Public · charter | 7.8 | 350 | -10.7% |
| PREMIER H S OF WESLACO WESLACO |
Public · charter | 8.7 | 112 | +55.6% |
| TEXASWORKS - WESLACO WESLACO |
Public · charter | 8.7 | 29 | — |