LOCKNEY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 130 students:
≈ 12 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,478 per student in district revenue, the 12 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $221,736/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLOYDADA COLLEGIATE H S FLOYDADA |
Public · charter | 10.9 | 229 | +21.2% |
| FLOYDADA ISD DAEP FLOYDADA |
Public | 11.4 | 2 | — |
| FLOYDADA ISD JJAEP PLAINVIEW |
Public | 16.0 | — | — |
| PLAINVIEW H S PLAINVIEW |
Public | 16.8 | 1,418 | -4.8% |
| PLAINVIEW CLASSICAL ACADEMY PLAINVIEW |
Public · charter | 17.3 | 33 | — |
| Plainview Christian Academy Plainview |
Private | 17.3 | 87 | — |
| PETERSBURG SCHOOL PETERSBURG |
Public | 19.4 | 82 | +6.5% |
| HALE CENTER H S HALE CENTER |
Public | 23.6 | 174 | +12.3% |