DENTON CO J J A E P
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -13.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 16 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,075 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $112,600/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DENTON CO J J A E P DENTON |
Public | 0.0 | 9 | — |
| JOE DALE SPARKS CAMPUS DENTON |
Public | 0.0 | 64 | — |
| LESTER DAVIS DENTON |
Public | 0.5 | 52 | -1.9% |
| FRED MOORE H S DENTON |
Public | 0.9 | 67 | +19.6% |
| Denton Calvary Academy Denton |
Private | 1.6 | 221 | -18.1% |
| RYAN H S DENTON |
Public | 2.2 | 2,051 | -7.2% |
| KI CHARTER - DENTON DENTON |
Public · charter | 2.8 | 14 | — |
| THE LAGRONE ACADEMY DENTON |
Public | 3.5 | 212 | +7.1% |