KI CHARTER - DENTON
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -21.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 24 students:
≈ 17 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,703 per student in district revenue, the 17 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $368,951/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DENTON H S DENTON |
Public | 1.4 | 2,083 | +8.7% |
| LESTER DAVIS DENTON |
Public | 2.4 | 52 | -1.9% |
| FRED MOORE H S DENTON |
Public | 2.4 | 67 | +19.6% |
| Denton Calvary Academy Denton |
Private | 2.8 | 221 | -18.1% |
| DENTON CO J J A E P DENTON |
Public | 2.8 | 9 | — |
| DENTON CO J J A E P DENTON |
Public | 2.8 | 13 | — |
| JOE DALE SPARKS CAMPUS DENTON |
Public | 2.9 | 64 | — |
| THE LAGRONE ACADEMY DENTON |
Public | 3.1 | 212 | +7.1% |