THE COLONY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,803 students:
≈ 315 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,075 per student in district revenue, the 315 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,433,625/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEBRON H S CARROLLTON |
Public | 3.2 | 3,668 | +0.4% |
| TRIVIUM ACADEMY CARROLLTON |
Public · charter | 3.7 | 77 | +32.8% |
| St Timothy Christian Academy Plano |
Private | 4.0 | 30 | — |
| Prestonwood Christian Academy Plano |
Private | 4.0 | 1,656 | +28.2% |
| REEDY H S FRISCO |
Public | 4.1 | 2,201 | -4.3% |
| Legacy Christian Academy Frisco |
Private | 4.4 | 1,058 | +12.0% |
| Prince Of Peace Christian School Carrollton |
Private | 4.6 | 513 | -30.4% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY - CARROLLTON CARROLLTON |
Public · charter | 4.7 | 255 | -10.2% |