GEORGE RANCH H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,337 students:
≈ 414 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,331 per student in district revenue, the 414 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,105,034/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knile Center Llc Richmond |
Private | 2.4 | 44 | — |
| DR THOMAS E RANDLE H S RICHMOND |
Public | 3.9 | 1,966 | +158.7% |
| JUVENILE DETENT CTR RICHMOND |
Public | 5.2 | 44 | — |
| B F TERRY H S ROSENBERG |
Public | 5.3 | 1,512 | -23.0% |
| CLEMENTS H S SUGAR LAND |
Public | 5.3 | 2,641 | +6.1% |
| Fusion Academy Sug: Sugar Land Sugar Land |
Private | 5.4 | 40 | — |
| TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOLS - RICHMOND CAMPUS RICHMOND |
Public · charter | 6.0 | 4 | — |
| Calvary Episcopal Preparatory Richmond |
Private | 6.1 | 162 | -8.5% |