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B F TERRY H S

Public
ROSENBERG, TX · LAMAR CISD · 66.0% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 445 in 2021 to 367 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-17.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -8.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,512 students:

2025
1,386
2027
1,165
2029
979

≈ 533 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,331 per student in district revenue, the 533 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $6,572,423/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LAMAR CONS H S
ROSENBERG
Public 1.2 1,714 -3.2%
Calvary Episcopal Preparatory
Richmond
Private 2.2 162 -8.5%
JUVENILE DETENT CTR
RICHMOND
Public 2.3 44
TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOLS - RICHMOND CAMPUS
RICHMOND
Public · charter 2.4 4
Bridge Preparatory Academy
Sugar Land
Private 2.7 16
Knile Center Llc
Richmond
Private 3.1 44
DR THOMAS E RANDLE H S
RICHMOND
Public 3.4 1,966 +158.7%
GEORGE RANCH H S
RICHMOND
Public 5.3 2,337 -11.0%

Is B F TERRY H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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