TOMPKINS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 3,155 students:
≈ 158 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,830 per student in district revenue, the 158 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,027,140/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEVEN LAKES H S KATY |
Public | 1.8 | 3,773 | +5.3% |
| CINCO RANCH H S KATY |
Public | 2.2 | 3,740 | +7.6% |
| JORDAN H S KATY |
Public | 2.6 | 3,330 | +72.3% |
| KATY H S KATY |
Public | 3.7 | 3,543 | +11.1% |
| TOMAS H S RICHMOND |
Public | 3.7 | — | — |
| Mirus Academy Katy |
Private | 3.8 | 32 | — |
| ARTHUR MILLER CAREER CENTER KATY |
Public | 4.3 | — | — |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - KATY KATY |
Public · charter | 4.4 | 671 | +120.0% |