CINCO RANCH H S
Public
KATY, TX · KATY ISD · 36.8% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 813 in 2021 to
916 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+12.7%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 3,740 students:
2025
3,833
2027
4,025
2029
4,227
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $12,830 per student in district revenue, the 487 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $6,248,210/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOMPKINS H S KATY |
Public | 2.2 | 3,155 | -3.0% |
| SEVEN LAKES H S KATY |
Public | 3.1 | 3,773 | +5.3% |
| TAYLOR H S KATY |
Public | 3.6 | 3,384 | +11.4% |
| Mirus Academy Katy |
Private | 3.8 | 32 | — |
| St John Xxiii College Prreparatory Katy |
Private | 3.8 | 408 | -0.7% |
| ARTHUR MILLER CAREER CENTER KATY |
Public | 3.9 | — | — |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - KATY KATY |
Public · charter | 3.9 | 671 | +120.0% |
| OPPORT AWARENESS CTR KATY |
Public | 4.0 | 138 | +1.5% |