ITALY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 283 students:
≈ 40 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,361 per student in district revenue, the 40 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $654,440/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVALON SCHOOL AVALON |
Public | 5.4 | 94 | +13.3% |
| MILFORD SCHOOL MILFORD |
Public | 6.0 | 91 | +23.0% |
| FROST SECONDARY FROST |
Public | 8.0 | 147 | +23.5% |
| BLOOMING GROVE H S BLOOMING GROVE |
Public | 11.6 | 288 | +4.7% |
| MAYPEARL H S MAYPEARL |
Public | 12.3 | 373 | +0.3% |
| ITASCA H S ITASCA |
Public | 15.6 | 210 | +12.9% |
| ELLIS CO JJAEP WAXAHACHIE |
Public | 15.7 | 3 | — |
| ELLIS CO JJAEP WAXAHACHIE |
Public | 15.7 | 6 | — |