HOPE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -13.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 21 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,809 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $162,899/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALHOUN H S PORT LAVACA |
Public | 0.6 | 989 | -2.8% |
| INDUSTRIAL H S VANDERBILT |
Public | 13.7 | 348 | -5.7% |
| BLOOMINGTON H S BLOOMINGTON |
Public | 14.0 | 227 | +12.9% |
| AUSTWELL-TIVOLI H S TIVOLI |
Public | 19.4 | 47 | — |
| VICTORIA REGIONAL JUVENILE JUSTICE CENTER VICTORIA |
Public | 23.0 | 25 | — |
| Edna Christian Academy Edna |
Private | 23.3 | 20 | — |
| Faith Academy Victoria |
Private | 23.4 | 241 | -10.7% |
| EDNA H S EDNA |
Public | 23.7 | 455 | +11.5% |