MIDDLE COLLEGE H S AT HCC GULFTON
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -17.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 72 students:
≈ 44 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 44 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $585,904/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIBERTY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.0 | 352 | +1.1% |
| Episcopal High School Bellaire |
Private | 1.0 | 797 | +17.2% |
| CHALLENGE EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.1 | 485 | +1.7% |
| The Post Oak School Bellaire |
Private | 1.1 | 355 | -3.0% |
| The Post Oak School Bellaire |
Private | 1.1 | 465 | +32.9% |
| PREMIER H S - HOUSTON (SHARPSTOWN) HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.4 | 91 | — |
| YES PREP - GULFTON HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.5 | 546 | -4.0% |
| SOUTHWEST PUBLIC SCHOOLS COLLEGE &CAREER PREP ACAD HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 462 | +23.5% |