YES PREP - GULFTON
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,039 students:
≈ 20 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,137 per student in district revenue, the 20 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $282,740/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PREMIER H S - HOUSTON (SHARPSTOWN) HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 0.1 | 91 | — |
| LONG ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public | 0.2 | 102 | -43.3% |
| KIPP CONNECT PREPARATORY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 0.2 | 587 | +23.1% |
| The Saint Constantine School Houston |
Private | 0.8 | 322 | — |
| SOUTHWEST PUBLIC SCHOOLS COLLEGE &CAREER PREP ACAD HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 462 | +23.5% |
| ENERGIZED FOR STEM ACADEMY H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.2 | 520 | -20.4% |
| WISDOM H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.5 | 1,965 | -3.3% |
| LIBERTY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.5 | 352 | +1.1% |