STERLING H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -10.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,146 students:
≈ 496 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 496 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $6,604,736/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOUNT CARMEL ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 194 | -27.6% |
| Genesis Christian School Houston |
Private | 2.1 | 201 | +18.9% |
| THE PRO-VISION ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.7 | 212 | +0.5% |
| KIPP SUNNYSIDE H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 622 | +7.1% |
| JONES FUTURES ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public | 3.0 | 298 | -1.0% |
| WORTHING H S HOUSTON |
Public | 3.1 | 751 | -8.9% |
| YES PREP - SOUTHSIDE HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.8 | 410 | -10.7% |
| TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON HOBBY DALLAS |
Public · charter | 4.2 | 322 | -10.3% |