HENDERSON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,018 students:
≈ 10 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,871 per student in district revenue, the 10 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $128,710/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Armor Christian Academy Henderson |
Private | 3.8 | 96 | -22.6% |
| CARLISLE SCHOOL HENDERSON |
Public | 7.4 | 185 | +12.8% |
| WEST RUSK H S NEW LONDON |
Public | 8.4 | 356 | +4.7% |
| LEVERETTS CHAPEL H S OVERTON |
Public | 11.4 | 72 | +0.0% |
| OVERTON H S OVERTON |
Public | 11.4 | 155 | +29.2% |
| BILLY MOORE OVERTON |
Public · charter | 13.2 | 140 | -21.8% |
| LANEVILLE SCHOOL LANEVILLE |
Public | 13.6 | 41 | — |
| ARP H S ARP |
Public | 14.4 | 308 | +17.1% |