HARPER H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 171 students:
≈ 22 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,153 per student in district revenue, the 22 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $289,366/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HILL COUNTRY YOUTH RANCH INGRAM |
Public · charter | 14.2 | 41 | — |
| INGRAM TOM MOORE H S INGRAM |
Public | 15.6 | 439 | +19.6% |
| HILL COUNTRY H S KERRVILLE |
Public | 18.2 | 43 | — |
| TIVY H S KERRVILLE |
Public | 19.9 | 1,363 | -5.9% |
| Heritage School Fredericksburg |
Private | 20.7 | 151 | -8.5% |
| FREDERICKSBURG H S FREDERICKSBURG |
Public | 21.8 | 1,031 | +1.4% |
| GILLESPIE COUNTY H S FREDERICKSBURG |
Public | 21.9 | 19 | — |
| Our Lady Of The Hills Reg Catholic High School Kerrville |
Private | 23.2 | 89 | -15.2% |