BALL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,905 students:
≈ 170 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,261 per student in district revenue, the 170 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,594,370/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIM COLLEGE & CAREER PREP GALVESTON |
Public | 0.7 | 91 | +35.8% |
| Upward Hope Academy Galveston |
Private | 1.0 | 67 | -25.6% |
| ODYSSEY ACADEMY - GALVESTON GALVESTON |
Public · charter | 1.3 | 153 | -6.7% |
| O'Connell College Preparatory School Galveston |
Private | 1.4 | 69 | -28.9% |
| WOODROW WILSON DAEP TEXAS CITY |
Public | 9.4 | 49 | — |
| TEXAS CITY H S TEXAS CITY |
Public | 9.6 | 1,689 | -2.3% |
| LA MARQUE H S LA MARQUE |
Public | 12.6 | 737 | +13.7% |
| HITCHCOCK H S HITCHCOCK |
Public | 13.9 | 585 | +36.4% |