TEXAS CITY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,689 students:
≈ 65 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,906 per student in district revenue, the 65 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,228,890/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOODROW WILSON DAEP TEXAS CITY |
Public | 1.1 | 49 | — |
| GALVESTON CO DETENTION CTR DICKINSON |
Public | 4.6 | 20 | — |
| LA MARQUE H S LA MARQUE |
Public | 4.8 | 737 | +13.7% |
| Abundant Life Christian School Lamarque |
Private | 6.2 | 92 | +33.3% |
| HITCHCOCK H S HITCHCOCK |
Public | 7.6 | 585 | +36.4% |
| DICKINSON H S DICKINSON |
Public | 8.7 | 3,810 | +8.9% |
| AIM COLLEGE & CAREER PREP GALVESTON |
Public | 9.1 | 91 | +35.8% |
| Upward Hope Academy Galveston |
Private | 9.2 | 67 | -25.6% |