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GEORGE BUSH H S

Public
RICHMOND, TX · FORT BEND ISD · 67.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 587 in 2021 to 578 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-1.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,428 students:

2025
2,397
2027
2,337
2029
2,278

≈ 150 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 150 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,798,800/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
ILTEXAS KATY WESTPARK H S
RICHMOND
Public · charter 3.2 869 +22.2%
KERR H S
HOUSTON
Public 3.2 807 +2.2%
TAYLOR H S
HOUSTON
Public 3.2 2,838 -0.5%
Van Houston Academy
Houston
Private 3.5 74
King'S Academy
Houston
Private 3.6 54 +8.0%
Fellowship Christian Academy
Sugar Land
Private 3.8 96 +11.6%
Houston Quran Academy
Houston
Private 4.0 268 +21.8%
WILLIAM B TRAVIS H S
RICHMOND
Public 4.0 3,114 +0.5%

Is GEORGE BUSH H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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