KEMPNER H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,850 students:
≈ 173 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 173 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,074,616/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fellowship Christian Academy Sugar Land |
Private | 1.1 | 96 | +11.6% |
| M R WOOD CENTER FOR LEARNING SUGAR LAND |
Public | 1.3 | 104 | +50.7% |
| STEPHEN F AUSTIN H S SUGAR LAND |
Public | 1.9 | 2,655 | +17.6% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION-SUGAR LAND SUGAR LAND |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 912 | +22.6% |
| Logos Preparatory School Sugar Land |
Private | 3.3 | 524 | +3.4% |
| KERR H S HOUSTON |
Public | 3.4 | 807 | +2.2% |
| TAYLOR H S HOUSTON |
Public | 3.7 | 2,838 | -0.5% |
| King'S Academy Houston |
Private | 3.9 | 54 | +8.0% |