MARY E SMITHEY PACE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 76 students:
≈ 15 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,295 per student in district revenue, the 15 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $199,425/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUMMIT LEARNING CENTER DUNCANVILLE |
Public | 1.5 | — | — |
| VILLAGE TECH SCHOOLS DUNCANVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 335 | +23.2% |
| DUNCANVILLE H S DUNCANVILLE |
Public | 1.8 | 4,399 | -3.3% |
| WINFREE ACADEMY CHARTER SCHOOL DALLAS DALLAS |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 245 | +39.2% |
| UPLIFT HAMPTON PREP H S DALLAS |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 414 | +16.0% |
| Advanced Preparatory International Dallas |
Private | 2.8 | 55 | — |
| DAVID W CARTER H S DALLAS |
Public | 3.0 | 1,097 | -2.8% |
| Kingdom Collegiate Academies Dallas |
Private | 3.3 | 360 | — |