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DANBURY H S

Public
DANBURY, TX · DANBURY ISD · 23.2% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 66 in 2021 to 52 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-21.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -5.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 220 students:

2025
209
2027
188
2029
170

≈ 50 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $16,069 per student in district revenue, the 50 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $803,450/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
ANGLETON H S
ANGLETON
Public 4.6 2,225 +11.5%
BRAZORIA CO JUVENILE DETENTION
ANGLETON
Public 5.0 25
BRAZORIA CO ALTER ED CTR
ANGLETON
Public 5.0 1
Angleton Christian School
Angleton
Private 7.2 294 +5.0%
Foundation Preparatory Academy
Lake Jackson
Private 11.3 46
Brazosport Christian School
Lake Jackson
Private 13.4 218
BRAZOS SUCCESS ACADEMY
LAKE JACKSON
Public 13.8 134 +65.4%
BRAZOSWOOD H S
CLUTE
Public 14.4 2,436 +2.7%

Is DANBURY H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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