BRAZORIA CO JUVENILE DETENTION
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 33 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,018 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $30,036/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRAZORIA CO ALTER ED CTR ANGLETON |
Public | 0.0 | 1 | — |
| ANGLETON H S ANGLETON |
Public | 1.9 | 2,225 | +11.5% |
| Angleton Christian School Angleton |
Private | 2.8 | 294 | +5.0% |
| DANBURY H S DANBURY |
Public | 5.0 | 220 | -14.4% |
| Foundation Preparatory Academy Lake Jackson |
Private | 7.1 | 46 | — |
| Brazosport Christian School Lake Jackson |
Private | 9.1 | 218 | — |
| BRAZOS SUCCESS ACADEMY LAKE JACKSON |
Public | 9.4 | 134 | +65.4% |
| BRAZOSWOOD H S CLUTE |
Public | 10.4 | 2,436 | +2.7% |