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MOISES E MOLINA H S

Public
DALLAS, TX · DALLAS ISD · 93.2% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 500 in 2021 to 462 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-7.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -2.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,006 students:

2025
1,966
2027
1,888
2029
1,814

≈ 192 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,255 per student in district revenue, the 192 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,928,960/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
TRINIDAD GARZA EARLY COLLEGE AT MT VIEW
DALLAS
Public 0.5 474 +10.5%
UME DALLAS SECONDARY
DALLAS
Public · charter 2.4 435 +17.6%
JUSTIN F KIMBALL H S
DALLAS
Public 2.5 1,175 -10.6%
SUNSET H S
DALLAS
Public 3.6 2,164 +0.2%
Advanced Preparatory International
Dallas
Private 3.8 55
Bishop Dunne Catholic School
Dallas
Private 4.0 377 -38.3%
DALLAS COUNTY JUVENILE JUSTICE
DALLAS
Public · charter 4.0 114 -20.8%
DRC CAMPUS
DALLAS
Public · charter 4.1 8

Is MOISES E MOLINA H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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