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JUSTIN F KIMBALL H S

Public
DALLAS, TX · DALLAS ISD · 89.5% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 255 in 2021 to 259 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+1.6%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,175 students:

2025
1,132
2027
1,050
2029
974

≈ 201 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,255 per student in district revenue, the 201 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $3,066,255/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Advanced Preparatory International
Dallas
Private 1.3 55
Bishop Dunne Catholic School
Dallas
Private 1.6 377 -38.3%
TRINIDAD GARZA EARLY COLLEGE AT MT VIEW
DALLAS
Public 2.4 474 +10.5%
MOISES E MOLINA H S
DALLAS
Public 2.5 2,006 -5.9%
OAK CLIFF FAITH FAMILY ACADEMY
DALLAS
Public · charter 2.9 744 +13.1%
BARBARA M MANNS H S DAEP
DALLAS
Public 3.1 148 +5.0%
Kingdom Collegiate Academies
Dallas
Private 3.3 360
LIFE SCHOOL OAK CLIFF
DALLAS
Public · charter 3.3 488 +0.4%

Is JUSTIN F KIMBALL H S winning or losing the families nearby?

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