CRANFILLS GAP SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 116 students:
≈ 22 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,202 per student in district revenue, the 22 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $422,444/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JONESBORO SCHOOL JONESBORO |
Public | 11.1 | 95 | +5.6% |
| CLIFTON H S CLIFTON |
Public | 13.8 | 311 | +3.7% |
| IREDELL SCHOOL IREDELL |
Public | 15.2 | 43 | — |
| MERIDIAN H S MERIDIAN |
Public | 15.2 | 129 | +29.0% |
| HAMILTON H S HAMILTON |
Public | 18.5 | 247 | +9.8% |
| HICO H S HICO |
Public | 19.4 | 187 | +24.7% |
| WALNUT SPRINGS SCHOOL WALNUT SPRINGS |
Public | 20.0 | 49 | — |
| MORGAN SCHOOL MORGAN |
Public | 21.5 | 35 | — |