CHAPEL HILL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 990 students:
≈ 113 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,679 per student in district revenue, the 113 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,432,727/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT TYLER UNIVERSITY ACADEMY AT TYLER TYLER |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 94 | +8.0% |
| Islamic Faith Academy Tyler |
Private | 3.0 | 30 | — |
| Grace Community School Tyler |
Private | 4.1 | 907 | +1.7% |
| FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY-TYLER TYLER |
Public · charter | 4.3 | 98 | +10.1% |
| Lael Christian Academy Tyler |
Private | 4.5 | 10 | — |
| WHITEHOUSE H S WHITEHOUSE |
Public | 5.5 | 1,404 | -7.2% |
| Bishop Tk Gorman Catholic School Tyler |
Private | 5.6 | 219 | — |
| CUMBERLAND H S TYLER |
Public · charter | 5.8 | 503 | -20.3% |