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CUMBERLAND H S

Public Charter
TYLER, TX · CUMBERLAND ACADEMY · 32.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 154 in 2021 to 124 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-19.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -7.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 503 students:

2025
466
2027
401
2029
345

≈ 158 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,295 per student in district revenue, the 158 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,784,610/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY-TYLER
TYLER
Public · charter 1.5 98 +10.1%
King'S Academy Christian School
Tyler
Private 1.7 198 +102.0%
TYLER LEGACY H S
TYLER
Public 2.3 2,770 +11.4%
Bishop Tk Gorman Catholic School
Tyler
Private 2.4 219
Grace Community School
Tyler
Private 2.9 907 +1.7%
Lael Christian Academy
Tyler
Private 3.2 10
UT TYLER UNIVERSITY ACADEMY AT TYLER
TYLER
Public · charter 3.5 94 +8.0%
Bridgemark Center For Learning
Tyler
Private 3.5 99 +8.8%

Is CUMBERLAND H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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