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BRENHAM H S

Public
BRENHAM, TX · BRENHAM ISD · 48.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 319 in 2021 to 343 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+7.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,544 students:

2025
1,540
2027
1,531
2029
1,523

≈ 21 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $12,023 per student in district revenue, the 21 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $252,483/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
TRINITY CHARTER SCHOOL - BRENHAM CAMPUS
BRENHAM
Public · charter 4.3 28
BURTON H S
BURTON
Public 12.1 152 +5.6%
SOMERVILLE H S
SOMERVILLE
Public 13.8 168 +14.3%
ROUND TOP-CARMINE H S
CARMINE
Public 17.3 71 +12.7%
SPICER ALTER ED CTR
BELLVILLE
Public 17.8
BELLVILLE H S
BELLVILLE
Public 19.8 786 +15.2%
SAFE HAVEN
HEMPSTEAD
Public · charter 20.1 4
HEMPSTEAD H S
HEMPSTEAD
Public 20.2 462 +4.5%

Is BRENHAM H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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