BRAZOSPORT H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 841 students:
≈ 109 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,787 per student in district revenue, the 109 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,829,783/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRAZOS HARBOR CLUTE |
Public | 4.5 | 1 | — |
| LIGHTHOUSE LEARNING CENTER - DAEP CLUTE |
Public | 4.5 | 46 | — |
| BRAZOSWOOD H S CLUTE |
Public | 5.3 | 2,436 | +2.7% |
| Brazosport Christian School Lake Jackson |
Private | 6.7 | 218 | — |
| BRAZOS SUCCESS ACADEMY LAKE JACKSON |
Public | 7.2 | 134 | +65.4% |
| Foundation Preparatory Academy Lake Jackson |
Private | 8.1 | 46 | — |
| BRAZORIA CO JUVENILE DETENTION ANGLETON |
Public | 15.0 | 25 | — |
| BRAZORIA CO ALTER ED CTR ANGLETON |
Public | 15.0 | 1 | — |