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LBJ EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
AUSTIN, TX · AUSTIN ISD · 88.6% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 182 in 2021 to 195 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+7.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -3.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 734 students:

2025
706
2027
652
2029
603

≈ 131 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $21,825 per student in district revenue, the 131 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,859,075/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
AUSTIN ACHIEVE H S
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.5 581 -6.4%
THE EAST AUSTIN COLLEGE PREP AT MLK
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.9 116 -42.0%
GREENLEAF NCC
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.9 30
NORTHEAST EARLY COLLEGE H S
AUSTIN
Public 2.2 972 -4.2%
KIPP AUSTIN COLLEGIATE
AUSTIN
Public · charter 2.3 847 +5.6%
DIBOLL
AUSTIN
Public · charter 2.9 75 -27.9%
CEDARS ACADEMY NEXT GENERATION H S AT HIGHLAND
AUSTIN
Public · charter 3.3 116 +2.7%
NICOLE'S PLACE
AUSTIN
Public 3.3 1

Is LBJ EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

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