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NORTHEAST EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
AUSTIN, TX · AUSTIN ISD · 91.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 188 in 2021 to 209 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+11.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 972 students:

2025
958
2027
931
2029
904

≈ 68 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $21,825 per student in district revenue, the 68 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,484,100/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
AUSTIN ACHIEVE H S
AUSTIN
Public · charter 0.8 581 -6.4%
KIPP AUSTIN COLLEGIATE
AUSTIN
Public · charter 0.8 847 +5.6%
GREENLEAF NCC
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.0 30
DIBOLL
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.0 75 -27.9%
CEDARS ACADEMY NEXT GENERATION H S AT HIGHLAND
AUSTIN
Public · charter 1.1 116 +2.7%
NICOLE'S PLACE
AUSTIN
Public 1.2 1
St Francis School
Austin
Private 1.2 376 -1.3%
Academy Of Thought And Industry Austin
Austin
Private 1.4 52

Is NORTHEAST EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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