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LA PROMESA

Public
HOUSTON, TX · ALDINE ISD · 77.7% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment went from 150 in 2021 to 448 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+198.7%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +44.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 448 students:

2025
645
2027
1,338
2029
2,775

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $13,966 per student in district revenue, the 2,327 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $32,498,882/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
ALDINE H S
HOUSTON
Public 0.0 2,481 -9.7%
BLANSON CTE H S
HOUSTON
Public 0.7 1,258 -6.8%
PREMIER H S - HOUSTON (GREENSPOINT)
HOUSTON
Public · charter 1.6 60 +15.4%
DAVIS H S ALDINE
HOUSTON
Public 3.0 3,184 +0.3%
YES PREP - NORTH CENTRAL
HOUSTON
Public · charter 3.1 519 -4.1%
LANE SCHOOL
HOUSTON
Public 3.4 95 +31.9%
HALL SUCCESS ACADEMY
HOUSTON
Public 3.5 158 -19.0%
HARMONY SCHOOL OF ADVANCEMENT-HOUSTON
HOUSTON
Public · charter 3.7 752 +2.5%

Is LA PROMESA winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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