ALDINE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,481 students:
≈ 387 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,966 per student in district revenue, the 387 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,404,842/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA PROMESA HOUSTON |
Public | 0.0 | 448 | +198.7% |
| BLANSON CTE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 0.7 | 1,258 | -6.8% |
| PREMIER H S - HOUSTON (GREENSPOINT) HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 1.6 | 60 | +15.4% |
| DAVIS H S ALDINE HOUSTON |
Public | 3.0 | 3,184 | +0.3% |
| YES PREP - NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.1 | 519 | -4.1% |
| LANE SCHOOL HOUSTON |
Public | 3.4 | 95 | +31.9% |
| HALL SUCCESS ACADEMY HOUSTON |
Public | 3.5 | 158 | -19.0% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF ADVANCEMENT-HOUSTON HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.7 | 752 | +2.5% |