LAKE GRANBURY ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 47 students:
≈ 6 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,056 per student in district revenue, the 6 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $102,336/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STARS ACCELERATED H S GRANBURY |
Public | 0.6 | 44 | — |
| GRANBURY H S GRANBURY |
Public | 0.7 | 2,215 | +6.1% |
| PREMIER H S OF GRANBURY GRANBURY |
Public · charter | 2.3 | 153 | -4.4% |
| TEXASWORKS - GRANBURY GRANBURY |
Public · charter | 2.3 | 6 | — |
| TOLAR H S TOLAR |
Public | 8.8 | 272 | +7.5% |
| North Central Texas Academy Granbury |
Private | 11.5 | 106 | -43.3% |
| BLUFF DALE BLUFF DALE |
Public | 14.6 | 62 | +10.7% |
| GODLEY H S GODLEY |
Public | 14.9 | 868 | +26.5% |